Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.180171 0.205982 0.234818 0.269535 0.310351 0.356995 0.414594
2025-12-07 0.137424 0.170788 0.211878 0.266702 0.338684 0.431014 0.560098
2025-12-14 0.114252 0.150720 0.198915 0.268316 0.367430 0.506583 0.721638
2025-12-21 0.098172 0.135658 0.188020 0.268165 0.390756 0.576345 0.888857
2025-12-28 0.088157 0.126754 0.183307 0.274626 0.423126 0.663871 1.102907
2026-01-04 0.079702 0.118566 0.177908 0.278326 0.450747 0.748118 1.331822
2026-01-11 0.072895 0.111775 0.173376 0.282139 0.478458 0.837174 1.592361
2026-01-18 0.067914 0.107113 0.171403 0.289565 0.513311 0.945746 1.921526
2026-01-25 0.062611 0.101207 0.166458 0.290734 0.536381 1.036015 2.238225
2026-02-01 0.057839 0.095607 0.161252 0.290455 0.556272 1.123632 2.575680
2026-02-08 0.053305 0.089902 0.155123 0.287393 0.569726 1.199997 2.910012
2026-02-15 0.049240 0.084596 0.149079 0.283547 0.580678 1.272885 3.259754
2026-02-22 0.046916 0.082296 0.148527 0.291088 0.618871 1.421267 3.882840
2026-03-01 0.043425 0.077476 0.142598 0.286491 0.628486 1.501426 4.336736
2026-03-08 0.040953 0.074356 0.139670 0.287985 0.653006 1.627118 4.992441
2026-03-15 0.038561 0.071156 0.136215 0.287777 0.673268 1.746614 5.683398
2026-03-22 0.037054 0.069567 0.135909 0.294783 0.713609 1.935567 6.727955
2026-03-29 0.035410 0.067541 0.134443 0.298798 0.746807 2.112875 7.826606
2026-04-05 0.033909 0.065670 0.133107 0.302938 0.781301 2.305149 9.106261
2026-04-12 0.032814 0.064552 0.133314 0.311005 0.829010 2.557507 10.832041
2026-04-19 0.031315 0.062433 0.131028 0.312275 0.856681 2.748938 12.393812
2026-04-26 0.029828 0.060215 0.128291 0.311972 0.879542 2.930919 14.044938
2026-05-03 0.028267 0.057705 0.124626 0.308645 0.892143 3.078333 15.618472